Celeste META Analysis

Marksman · Marksman · ●●○

SConfirmed

WR52.2%

PICK3.3%

BAN10.0%

ADJ+2.4%

CONFConfirmed

Full META ->

Performing within expected range for current conditions.

Patch

Minor Update - 08-22-2026

15d ago

Comparing to Minor Update - 08-12-2026

Post-patch data only

SStableConfirmed

Emerging score 40 · 299,984 matches this patch

Win Rate

49.2%

47.7% top-rank

Pick Share

0.0%

Ban Rate

10.0%

Adj. Uplift

-0.76pp

Patch Delta WR

-0.28pp

Patch Delta Pick

-3.93%

Best Allied Heroesby synergy uplift

Graves

+8.63pp

Victor

+7.60pp

Kelvin

+6.43pp

Ivy

+6.40pp

Compare on Meta Observatory

Adj. Uplift = item WR for this hero minus global item avg. Context Label is derived from buy timing, sell rate, and high-MMR gap. Minimum 100 purchases for inclusion.

Item	Slot	Adj. Uplift	Pick Rate	Timing	Context	Matches	Confidence
Lucky Shot T4	weapon	+10.56pp	0.0%	40.3m	Late-game	115	Unreliable
Blood Tribute T3	weapon	+10.13pp	3.4%	31.6m	Late-game	7,963	Emerging
Diviner's Kevlar T4	vitality	+9.46pp	0.3%	41.7m	Late-game	619	Unreliable
Ethereal Shift T4	spirit	+7.54pp	8.9%	36.3m	Late-game	21,164	Likely
Spellslinger T4	weapon	+7.36pp	32.6%	32.3m	Core	77,276	Confirmed
Glass Cannon T4	weapon	+7.30pp	0.1%	36.7m	Late-game	151	Unreliable
Witchmail T4	vitality	+7.11pp	49.5%	28.4m	Core	117,182	Confirmed
Scourge T4	spirit	+7.08pp	4.1%	36.5m	Late-game	9,611	Likely
Echo Shard T4	spirit	+6.83pp	0.1%	37.6m	Late-game	161	Unreliable
Spirit Burn T4	spirit	+6.61pp	8.9%	37.9m	Late-game	21,018	Likely
Spiritual Overflow T4	weapon	+6.05pp	37.3%	30.9m	Core	88,355	Confirmed
Armor Piercing Rounds T4	weapon	+5.82pp	0.4%	42.6m	Late-game	873	Unreliable
Healing Tempo T4	vitality	+5.73pp	11.4%	36.3m	Late-game	27,108	Confirmed
Siphon Bullets T4	vitality	+5.24pp	0.1%	41.0m	Late-game	180	Unreliable
Escalating Exposure T4	spirit	+5.04pp	56.1%	31.0m	Core	133,015	Confirmed
Bullet Lifesteal T2	vitality	+4.92pp	1.8%	31.6m	Late-game	4,190	Emerging
Arctic Blast T4	spirit	+4.87pp	2.7%	35.6m	Late-game	6,290	Emerging
Mystic Reverb T4	spirit	+4.81pp	1.3%	39.0m	Late-game	3,055	Experimental
Frenzy T4	weapon	+4.57pp	0.1%	42.1m	Late-game	348	Unreliable
Grit T1	vitality	+4.43pp	34.5%	10.7m	Core	81,779	Confirmed
Boundless Spirit T4	spirit	+4.40pp	33.0%	32.6m	Core	78,100	Confirmed
Silencer T4	weapon	+4.33pp	0.6%	42.5m	Late-game	1,444	Experimental
Restorative Locket T2	vitality	+4.32pp	55.6%	15.3m	Core	131,841	Confirmed
Spirit Shielding T2	vitality	+4.30pp	35.8%	14.9m	Core	84,745	Confirmed
Infuser T4	vitality	+4.12pp	7.6%	36.5m	Late-game	17,959	Likely
Leech T4	vitality	+4.06pp	6.3%	36.1m	Late-game	14,823	Likely
Phantom Strike T4	vitality	+3.92pp	0.5%	33.8m	Late-game	1,110	Unreliable
Indomitable T4	vitality	+3.89pp	8.5%	37.0m	Late-game	20,132	Likely
Magic Carpet T4	spirit	+3.85pp	0.6%	33.7m	Late-game	1,359	Experimental
Refresher T4	spirit	+3.77pp	18.5%	37.9m	Late-game	43,944	Confirmed
Lightning Scroll T4	spirit	+3.64pp	10.4%	36.5m	Late-game	24,665	Likely
Greater Expansion T3	spirit	+3.57pp	91.6%	23.3m	Core	217,138	Confirmed
Divine Barrier T4	vitality	+3.56pp	0.5%	37.8m	Late-game	1,277	Experimental
Ricochet T4	weapon	+3.54pp	0.9%	36.9m	Late-game	2,180	Experimental
Suppressor T2	spirit	+3.51pp	43.0%	11.8m	Core	101,828	Confirmed
Torment Pulse T3	spirit	+3.42pp	86.1%	18.7m	Core	203,893	Confirmed
Healing Booster T2	vitality	+3.29pp	76.8%	12.6m	Core	182,033	Confirmed
Transcendent Cooldown T4	spirit	+3.17pp	20.6%	34.8m	Core	48,789	Confirmed
Spirit Lifesteal T2	vitality	+3.15pp	51.1%	23.1m	Core	121,075	Confirmed
Golden Goose Egg T1	spirit	+3.05pp	9.5%	3.1m	Late-game	22,513	Likely
Mystic Expansion T1	spirit	+2.95pp	78.2%	13.2m	Core	185,332	Confirmed
Mystic Regeneration T1	spirit	+2.82pp	83.3%	6.6m	Core	197,300	Confirmed
Stamina Mastery T3	vitality	+2.79pp	54.7%	22.9m	Core	129,687	Confirmed
Weapon Shielding T2	vitality	+2.76pp	8.1%	15.8m	Late-game	19,084	Likely
Mystic Vulnerability T2	spirit	+2.72pp	55.0%	22.7m	Core	130,297	Confirmed
Extra Regen T1	vitality	+2.66pp	86.5%	3.0m	Core	204,940	Confirmed
Radiant Regeneration T3	spirit	+2.59pp	94.4%	12.1m	Core	223,698	Confirmed
Superior Cooldown T3	spirit	+2.51pp	36.5%	26.1m	Core	86,577	Confirmed
Compress Cooldown T2	spirit	+2.48pp	22.0%	21.6m	Core	52,244	Confirmed
Alchemical Fire T3	weapon	+2.47pp	0.1%	29.0m	Late-game	144	Unreliable
Crushing Fists T4	weapon	+2.18pp	0.2%	30.1m	Late-game	583	Unreliable
High-Velocity Rounds T1	weapon	+2.17pp	100.0%	3.1m	Core	236,937	Confirmed
Mystic Burst T1	spirit	+2.15pp	12.5%	9.0m	Late-game	29,522	Confirmed
Unstoppable T4	vitality	+2.15pp	2.4%	39.6m	Late-game	5,711	Emerging
Inhibitor T4	vitality	+2.13pp	1.6%	41.6m	Late-game	3,846	Emerging
Opening Rounds T2	weapon	+2.11pp	75.3%	14.6m	Core	178,495	Confirmed
Trophy Collector T2	vitality	+2.10pp	5.8%	11.4m	Late-game	13,841	Likely
Extra Spirit T1	spirit	+1.83pp	34.5%	12.4m	Core	81,642	Confirmed
Improved Spirit T2	spirit	+1.49pp	37.8%	16.5m	Core	89,671	Confirmed
Juggernaut T4	vitality	+1.34pp	1.4%	38.8m	Late-game	3,212	Experimental
Tankbuster T3	spirit	+1.29pp	9.2%	26.1m	Late-game	21,864	Likely
Extra Stamina T1	vitality	+1.29pp	48.5%	12.8m	Core	115,007	Confirmed
Spellbreaker T4	vitality	+1.23pp	4.1%	38.7m	Late-game	9,737	Likely
Dispel Magic T3	vitality	+1.19pp	12.4%	27.0m	Late-game	29,483	Confirmed
Rebuttal T1	vitality	+1.16pp	2.7%	10.0m	Late-game	6,425	Emerging
Spirit Shredder Bullets T2	weapon	+1.08pp	3.9%	17.8m	Late-game	9,141	Emerging
Mercurial Magnum T4	spirit	+1.04pp	6.8%	27.4m	Late-game	16,101	Likely
Counterspell T3	vitality	+1.02pp	9.4%	27.1m	Late-game	22,364	Likely
Cheat Death T4	vitality	+0.99pp	0.4%	45.6m	Late-game	848	Unreliable
Point Blank T3	weapon	+0.92pp	0.1%	25.1m	Late-game	244	Unreliable
Cold Front T2	spirit	+0.91pp	10.1%	11.7m	Late-game	23,862	Likely
Colossus T4	vitality	+0.76pp	0.2%	41.1m	Late-game	421	Unreliable
Mystic Slow T2	spirit	+0.63pp	11.4%	24.3m	Late-game	27,020	Likely
Spirit Rend T3	weapon	+0.60pp	3.1%	28.1m	Late-game	7,311	Emerging
Reactive Barrier T2	vitality	+0.59pp	10.5%	23.2m	Late-game	24,993	Likely
Sprint Boots T1	vitality	+0.57pp	5.1%	11.3m	Late-game	12,184	Likely
Guardian Ward T2	vitality	+0.34pp	0.5%	23.0m	Late-game	1,301	Experimental
Plated Armor T4	vitality	+0.22pp	5.0%	37.7m	Late-game	11,805	Likely
Burst Fire T3	weapon	+0.22pp	0.5%	24.3m	Late-game	1,134	Experimental
Debuff Reducer T2	vitality	+0.15pp	4.8%	29.5m	Late-game	11,361	Likely
Warp Stone T3	vitality	+0.07pp	0.7%	29.0m	Late-game	1,713	Experimental
Veil Walker T3	vitality	+0.02pp	0.2%	24.3m	Late-game	449	Unreliable
Enchanter's Emblem T2	vitality	-0.02pp	5.4%	17.4m	Late-game	12,767	Likely
Toxic Bullets T3	weapon	-0.07pp	1.0%	32.1m	Late-game	2,466	Experimental
Healbane T2	vitality	-0.14pp	30.7%	18.3m	Late-game	72,784	Confirmed
Active Reload T2	weapon	-0.40pp	0.5%	13.7m	Late-game	1,092	Unreliable
Rapid Recharge T3	spirit	-0.45pp	19.1%	24.2m	Late-game	45,235	Confirmed
Vortex Web T4	spirit	-0.66pp	0.3%	39.1m	Late-game	713	Unreliable
Slowing Bullets T2	weapon	-0.68pp	0.2%	19.8m	Late-game	548	Unreliable
Spirit Snatch T3	spirit	-0.80pp	0.8%	22.3m	Late-game	1,854	Experimental
Extra Charge T1	spirit	-0.81pp	17.7%	11.1m	Late-game	41,846	Confirmed
Express Shot T3	weapon	-0.94pp	0.5%	26.6m	Late-game	1,116	Unreliable
Spirit Sap T2	spirit	-1.10pp	0.5%	20.5m	Late-game	1,201	Experimental
Enduring Speed T2	vitality	-1.11pp	2.6%	20.7m	Late-game	6,104	Emerging
Mystic Shot T2	weapon	-1.15pp	0.5%	16.0m	Late-game	1,129	Experimental
Melee Charge T2	weapon	-1.30pp	0.5%	13.3m	Late-game	1,112	Unreliable
Titanic Magazine T2	weapon	-1.31pp	1.1%	20.3m	Late-game	2,694	Experimental
Healing Rite T1	vitality	-1.38pp	2.4%	6.5m	Late-game	5,759	Emerging
Slowing Hex T2	spirit	-1.43pp	4.2%	19.6m	Late-game	9,920	Likely
Spirit Resilience T3	vitality	-1.47pp	11.5%	29.5m	Late-game	27,311	Confirmed
Ballistic Enchantment T3	weapon	-1.58pp	0.7%	24.1m	Late-game	1,621	Experimental
Close Quarters T1	weapon	-1.67pp	0.2%	11.3m	Late-game	477	Unreliable
Kinetic Dash T2	weapon	-1.69pp	21.3%	10.2m	Late-game	50,458	Confirmed
Recharging Rush T2	weapon	-1.74pp	0.3%	18.0m	Late-game	735	Unreliable
Quicksilver Reload T2	spirit	-1.86pp	8.5%	14.7m	Late-game	20,078	Likely
Swift Striker T2	weapon	-1.87pp	22.2%	10.9m	Late-game	52,586	Confirmed
Rapid Rounds T1	weapon	-1.95pp	13.3%	8.6m	Late-game	31,564	Confirmed
Superior Duration T3	spirit	-2.00pp	0.9%	30.2m	Late-game	2,043	Experimental
Extra Health T1	vitality	-2.01pp	7.1%	7.8m	Late-game	16,764	Likely
Arcane Surge T2	spirit	-2.16pp	11.0%	13.7m	Late-game	26,153	Likely
Focus Lens T4	spirit	-2.16pp	0.2%	38.5m	Late-game	567	Unreliable
Heroic Aura T3	weapon	-2.20pp	0.0%	26.2m	Late-game	106	Unreliable
Weighted Shots T3	weapon	-2.34pp	0.2%	25.3m	Late-game	494	Unreliable
Extended Magazine T1	weapon	-2.38pp	0.7%	12.8m	Late-game	1,550	Experimental
Fortitude T3	vitality	-2.49pp	4.9%	21.0m	Late-game	11,620	Likely
Lifestrike T3	vitality	-2.54pp	0.2%	22.6m	Late-game	471	Unreliable
Surge of Power T3	spirit	-2.87pp	3.3%	21.3m	Late-game	7,860	Emerging
Sharpshooter T3	weapon	-3.33pp	0.1%	27.3m	Late-game	315	Unreliable
Healing Nova T3	vitality	-3.39pp	0.2%	27.5m	Late-game	439	Unreliable
Monster Rounds T1	weapon	-3.60pp	1.1%	7.3m	Late-game	2,522	Experimental
Spirit Strike T1	spirit	-3.71pp	1.2%	9.8m	Late-game	2,783	Experimental
Rescue Beam T3	vitality	-3.75pp	0.2%	22.1m	Late-game	378	Unreliable
Restorative Shot T1	weapon	-3.94pp	0.3%	7.8m	Late-game	800	Unreliable
Duration Extender T2	spirit	-4.18pp	0.6%	23.2m	Late-game	1,513	Experimental
Battle Vest T2	vitality	-4.56pp	0.8%	19.6m	Late-game	1,893	Experimental
Escalating Resilience T3	weapon	-4.59pp	0.1%	29.1m	Late-game	269	Unreliable
Fleetfoot T2	weapon	-4.70pp	0.1%	17.0m	Late-game	285	Unreliable
Stalker T2	weapon	-5.04pp	0.2%	11.7m	Late-game	497	Unreliable
Bullet Resilience T3	vitality	-5.08pp	4.2%	30.5m	Late-game	9,860	Likely
Intensifying Magazine T2	weapon	-5.60pp	0.1%	22.9m	Late-game	123	Unreliable
Melee Lifesteal T1	vitality	-5.87pp	0.3%	9.1m	Late-game	765	Unreliable
Decay T3	spirit	-6.14pp	0.4%	29.6m	Late-game	953	Unreliable
Long Range T2	weapon	-6.37pp	0.1%	18.4m	Late-game	132	Unreliable
Knockdown T3	spirit	-6.56pp	3.3%	27.4m	Late-game	7,813	Emerging
Split Shot T2	weapon	-6.67pp	0.1%	22.2m	Late-game	181	Unreliable
Bullet Resist Shredder T2	spirit	-6.85pp	0.1%	20.4m	Late-game	214	Unreliable
Tesla Bullets T3	weapon	-6.90pp	0.1%	27.1m	Late-game	129	Unreliable
Return Fire T2	vitality	-7.06pp	1.1%	22.3m	Late-game	2,580	Experimental
Cultist Sacrifice T3	weapon	-7.76pp	0.3%	14.2m	Late-game	792	Unreliable
Rusted Barrel T1	spirit	-8.41pp	1.0%	16.3m	Late-game	2,408	Experimental
Silence Wave T3	spirit	-9.55pp	0.4%	31.8m	Late-game	1,018	Unreliable
Metal Skin T3	vitality	-9.66pp	4.0%	31.0m	Late-game	9,514	Likely
Majestic Leap T3	vitality	-9.71pp	0.1%	24.7m	Late-game	133	Unreliable
Cursed Relic T4	spirit	-9.81pp	0.8%	39.3m	Late-game	1,953	Experimental
Headshot Booster T1	weapon	-10.17pp	0.1%	10.8m	Late-game	137	Unreliable
Disarming Hex T3	spirit	-13.55pp	1.4%	28.7m	Late-game	3,335	Emerging

Full item table

Situational item recommendations derived from sell rate, average buy timing, and high-MMR adoption gap. Items that players regularly sell, buy late, or are adopted primarily in high-skill brackets indicate situational value.

Condition	Recommended Item	Est. Uplift	Confidence	Matches
Late-game / when ahead	Lucky Shot	+10.56pp	Unreliable	115
High-skill lobbies only	Blood Tribute	+10.13pp	Emerging	7,963
Late-game / when ahead	Diviner's Kevlar	+9.46pp	Unreliable	619
High-skill lobbies only	Ethereal Shift	+7.54pp	Likely	21,164
High-skill lobbies only	Spellslinger	+7.36pp	Confirmed	77,276
Late-game / when ahead	Glass Cannon	+7.30pp	Unreliable	151
Late-game / when ahead	Witchmail	+7.11pp	Confirmed	117,182
High-skill lobbies only	Scourge	+7.08pp	Likely	9,611
Late-game / when ahead	Echo Shard	+6.83pp	Unreliable	161
High-skill lobbies only	Spirit Burn	+6.61pp	Likely	21,018
High-skill lobbies only	Spiritual Overflow	+6.05pp	Confirmed	88,355
Late-game / when ahead	Armor Piercing Rounds	+5.82pp	Unreliable	873

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