Holliday META Analysis

Marksman · Bounces about dispensing trick shots · ●●●

CStable

WR47.1%

PICK1.7%

BAN1.3%

ADJ-2.6%

CONFConfirmed

Full META ->

Performing within expected range for current conditions.

Patch

Minor Update - 08-22-2026

14d ago

Comparing to Minor Update - 08-12-2026

Post-patch data only

CStableConfirmed

Emerging score 40 · 298,712 matches this patch

Win Rate

49.3%

47.7% top-rank

Pick Share

0.0%

Ban Rate

1.3%

Adj. Uplift

-0.74pp

Patch Delta WR

-0.26pp

Patch Delta Pick

-3.93%

Best Allied Heroesby synergy uplift

Victor

+4.19pp

Graves

+3.92pp

Seven

+2.75pp

Ivy

+1.03pp

Compare on Meta Observatory

Adj. Uplift = item WR for this hero minus global item avg. Context Label is derived from buy timing, sell rate, and high-MMR gap. Minimum 100 purchases for inclusion.

Item	Slot	Adj. Uplift	Pick Rate	Timing	Context	Matches	Confidence
Lightning Scroll T4	spirit	+8.41pp	0.1%	38.8m	Late-game	128	Unreliable
Mystic Reverb T4	spirit	+8.05pp	7.8%	36.5m	Late-game	10,142	Likely
Guardian Ward T2	vitality	+7.73pp	0.6%	29.6m	Late-game	772	Unreliable
Spellslinger T4	weapon	+6.96pp	1.6%	38.9m	Late-game	2,150	Experimental
Magic Carpet T4	spirit	+6.95pp	1.6%	36.9m	Late-game	2,127	Experimental
Lucky Shot T4	weapon	+6.90pp	8.7%	36.3m	Late-game	11,345	Likely
Divine Barrier T4	vitality	+6.78pp	1.1%	38.1m	Late-game	1,408	Experimental
Diviner's Kevlar T4	vitality	+6.56pp	1.9%	39.9m	Late-game	2,490	Experimental
Mercurial Magnum T4	spirit	+6.28pp	7.8%	36.2m	Late-game	10,184	Likely
Armor Piercing Rounds T4	weapon	+6.24pp	1.1%	39.8m	Late-game	1,451	Experimental
Arctic Blast T4	spirit	+6.00pp	0.6%	33.4m	Late-game	813	Unreliable
Cheat Death T4	vitality	+5.78pp	2.6%	40.3m	Late-game	3,447	Emerging
Frenzy T4	weapon	+5.74pp	0.1%	40.4m	Late-game	195	Unreliable
Phantom Strike T4	vitality	+5.49pp	0.6%	31.3m	Late-game	791	Unreliable
Escalating Exposure T4	spirit	+5.45pp	35.0%	32.1m	Core	45,721	Confirmed
Blood Tribute T3	weapon	+5.42pp	0.2%	29.1m	Late-game	322	Unreliable
Infuser T4	vitality	+5.37pp	0.1%	39.0m	Late-game	163	Unreliable
Spirit Burn T4	spirit	+5.35pp	36.0%	32.5m	Core	47,133	Confirmed
Spiritual Overflow T4	weapon	+5.08pp	10.1%	36.2m	Late-game	13,232	Likely
Vampiric Burst T4	vitality	+4.96pp	4.5%	36.2m	Late-game	5,937	Emerging
Shadow Weave T3	weapon	+4.90pp	0.5%	22.3m	Late-game	611	Unreliable
Hunter's Aura T3	weapon	+4.84pp	0.2%	28.1m	Late-game	260	Unreliable
Crippling Headshot T4	weapon	+4.64pp	9.6%	36.5m	Late-game	12,546	Likely
Siphon Bullets T4	vitality	+3.97pp	1.0%	40.2m	Late-game	1,312	Experimental
Crushing Fists T4	weapon	+3.85pp	0.3%	29.8m	Late-game	345	Unreliable
Torment Pulse T3	spirit	+3.69pp	0.2%	25.0m	Late-game	304	Unreliable
Glass Cannon T4	weapon	+3.64pp	14.9%	30.5m	Late-game	19,524	Likely
Silencer T4	weapon	+3.58pp	2.0%	40.1m	Late-game	2,663	Experimental
Leech T4	vitality	+3.41pp	1.0%	37.0m	Late-game	1,309	Experimental
Witchmail T4	vitality	+3.33pp	1.2%	40.8m	Late-game	1,567	Experimental
Quicksilver Reload T2	spirit	+3.04pp	6.9%	22.8m	Late-game	8,986	Emerging
Ethereal Shift T4	spirit	+2.99pp	1.0%	40.9m	Late-game	1,368	Experimental
Capacitor T4	weapon	+2.78pp	0.1%	36.2m	Late-game	107	Unreliable
Mystic Vulnerability T2	spirit	+2.77pp	30.1%	25.9m	Core	39,318	Confirmed
Stalker T2	weapon	+2.70pp	0.1%	15.1m	Late-game	152	Unreliable
Cold Front T2	spirit	+2.59pp	0.9%	15.6m	Late-game	1,117	Unreliable
Transcendent Cooldown T4	spirit	+2.53pp	21.6%	36.3m	Core	28,249	Confirmed
Indomitable T4	vitality	+2.51pp	8.2%	37.3m	Late-game	10,682	Likely
Scourge T4	spirit	+2.34pp	0.6%	41.8m	Late-game	783	Unreliable
Spirit Lifesteal T2	vitality	+2.19pp	7.0%	27.1m	Late-game	9,129	Emerging
Superior Cooldown T3	spirit	+2.13pp	41.9%	28.7m	Core	54,787	Confirmed
Rescue Beam T3	vitality	+1.96pp	0.7%	25.0m	Late-game	872	Unreliable
Mystic Regeneration T1	spirit	+1.82pp	1.4%	8.9m	Late-game	1,812	Experimental
Bullet Lifesteal T2	vitality	+1.69pp	4.5%	25.4m	Late-game	5,828	Emerging
Boundless Spirit T4	spirit	+1.58pp	52.8%	29.7m	Core	69,106	Confirmed
Spellbreaker T4	vitality	+1.55pp	5.4%	38.8m	Late-game	7,006	Emerging
Focus Lens T4	spirit	+1.55pp	1.1%	36.2m	Late-game	1,499	Experimental
Radiant Regeneration T3	spirit	+1.51pp	1.2%	24.6m	Late-game	1,584	Experimental
Split Shot T2	weapon	+1.38pp	0.1%	26.2m	Late-game	162	Unreliable
Compress Cooldown T2	spirit	+1.38pp	34.0%	23.9m	Core	44,502	Confirmed
Inhibitor T4	vitality	+1.16pp	1.4%	40.3m	Late-game	1,790	Experimental
Juggernaut T4	vitality	+0.94pp	1.0%	38.2m	Late-game	1,243	Experimental
Healing Tempo T4	vitality	+0.93pp	0.2%	36.0m	Late-game	222	Unreliable
Point Blank T3	weapon	+0.92pp	0.3%	24.9m	Late-game	428	Unreliable
Superior Duration T3	spirit	+0.80pp	51.6%	25.1m	Late-game	67,449	Confirmed
Alchemical Fire T3	weapon	+0.77pp	11.8%	25.0m	Late-game	15,407	Likely
Weighted Shots T3	weapon	+0.77pp	0.9%	26.9m	Late-game	1,219	Experimental
Spirit Strike T1	spirit	+0.68pp	0.9%	11.3m	Late-game	1,140	Experimental
Intensifying Magazine T2	weapon	+0.66pp	0.2%	20.0m	Late-game	278	Unreliable
Grit T1	vitality	+0.62pp	5.9%	19.5m	Late-game	7,744	Emerging
Weakening Headshot T2	weapon	+0.52pp	6.0%	25.4m	Late-game	7,804	Emerging
Ricochet T4	weapon	+0.47pp	4.0%	31.6m	Late-game	5,268	Emerging
Spirit Snatch T3	spirit	+0.28pp	0.8%	21.9m	Late-game	1,043	Unreliable
Duration Extender T2	spirit	+0.08pp	36.5%	20.0m	Late-game	47,802	Confirmed
Veil Walker T3	vitality	+0.02pp	30.0%	18.0m	Late-game	39,250	Confirmed
Hollow Point T3	weapon	-0.09pp	3.0%	26.7m	Late-game	3,981	Emerging
Tankbuster T3	spirit	-0.24pp	62.3%	23.7m	Late-game	81,472	Confirmed
Slowing Bullets T2	weapon	-0.33pp	0.6%	20.4m	Late-game	760	Unreliable
Trophy Collector T2	vitality	-0.43pp	46.8%	10.1m	Late-game	61,187	Confirmed
Spirit Sap T2	spirit	-0.48pp	0.8%	23.5m	Late-game	1,074	Unreliable
Stamina Mastery T3	vitality	-0.59pp	83.2%	21.5m	Late-game	108,758	Confirmed
Sprint Boots T1	vitality	-0.62pp	38.5%	10.4m	Late-game	50,389	Confirmed
Mystic Burst T1	spirit	-0.65pp	53.1%	12.9m	Late-game	69,465	Confirmed
Fortitude T3	vitality	-0.73pp	21.2%	21.9m	Late-game	27,732	Confirmed
Unstoppable T4	vitality	-0.76pp	1.9%	37.9m	Late-game	2,543	Experimental
Long Range T2	weapon	-0.80pp	10.4%	17.3m	Late-game	13,658	Likely
Ballistic Enchantment T3	weapon	-0.82pp	4.7%	22.4m	Late-game	6,119	Emerging
Improved Spirit T2	spirit	-0.87pp	64.7%	13.2m	Late-game	84,662	Confirmed
Reactive Barrier T2	vitality	-0.88pp	8.5%	23.4m	Late-game	11,095	Likely
Surge of Power T3	spirit	-0.91pp	35.2%	20.0m	Late-game	46,037	Confirmed
Spirit Rend T3	weapon	-0.93pp	0.9%	27.4m	Late-game	1,189	Experimental
Recharging Rush T2	weapon	-0.95pp	68.2%	16.2m	Late-game	89,210	Confirmed
Enchanter's Emblem T2	vitality	-1.02pp	22.2%	12.5m	Late-game	29,046	Confirmed
Extra Stamina T1	vitality	-1.10pp	75.1%	13.6m	Late-game	98,259	Confirmed
Dispel Magic T3	vitality	-1.13pp	16.7%	26.9m	Late-game	21,861	Likely
Counterspell T3	vitality	-1.13pp	14.1%	26.9m	Late-game	18,492	Likely
Rapid Recharge T3	spirit	-1.13pp	96.6%	14.3m	Late-game	126,399	Confirmed
Vortex Web T4	spirit	-1.14pp	0.9%	39.5m	Late-game	1,112	Unreliable
Debuff Reducer T2	vitality	-1.15pp	4.2%	30.3m	Late-game	5,484	Emerging
Extra Spirit T1	spirit	-1.22pp	80.1%	6.4m	Late-game	104,778	Confirmed
Extra Charge T1	spirit	-1.45pp	100.0%	3.7m	Late-game	130,789	Confirmed
Restorative Shot T1	weapon	-1.49pp	11.7%	3.5m	Late-game	15,338	Likely
Mystic Shot T2	weapon	-1.55pp	34.8%	9.7m	Late-game	45,487	Confirmed
Slowing Hex T2	spirit	-1.56pp	10.6%	19.8m	Late-game	13,823	Likely
Sharpshooter T3	weapon	-1.70pp	20.6%	20.9m	Late-game	26,966	Likely
Titanic Magazine T2	weapon	-1.70pp	18.8%	20.4m	Late-game	24,564	Likely
Express Shot T3	weapon	-1.71pp	0.9%	24.7m	Late-game	1,115	Unreliable
Extra Health T1	vitality	-1.77pp	22.3%	8.0m	Late-game	29,220	Confirmed
Cursed Relic T4	spirit	-1.80pp	7.8%	36.6m	Late-game	10,236	Likely
High-Velocity Rounds T1	weapon	-1.88pp	15.5%	14.0m	Late-game	20,220	Likely
Bullet Resist Shredder T2	spirit	-1.90pp	17.2%	15.1m	Late-game	22,438	Likely
Extra Regen T1	vitality	-1.93pp	8.6%	5.1m	Late-game	11,292	Likely
Greater Expansion T3	spirit	-1.94pp	5.3%	29.2m	Late-game	6,930	Emerging
Restorative Locket T2	vitality	-1.95pp	8.5%	15.1m	Late-game	11,165	Likely
Headhunter T3	weapon	-1.96pp	36.5%	14.8m	Late-game	47,680	Confirmed
Suppressor T2	spirit	-1.96pp	9.3%	16.8m	Late-game	12,175	Likely
Spirit Shredder Bullets T2	weapon	-2.02pp	1.0%	20.3m	Late-game	1,279	Experimental
Swift Striker T2	weapon	-2.03pp	19.3%	12.0m	Late-game	25,296	Likely
Rebuttal T1	vitality	-2.10pp	2.1%	9.7m	Late-game	2,741	Experimental
Plated Armor T4	vitality	-2.10pp	1.3%	39.7m	Late-game	1,664	Experimental
Extended Magazine T1	weapon	-2.11pp	18.1%	11.2m	Late-game	23,706	Likely
Healing Rite T1	vitality	-2.12pp	6.2%	6.5m	Late-game	8,045	Emerging
Opening Rounds T2	weapon	-2.17pp	8.6%	12.3m	Late-game	11,265	Likely
Rapid Rounds T1	weapon	-2.24pp	11.1%	10.2m	Late-game	14,471	Likely
Headshot Booster T1	weapon	-2.27pp	44.2%	3.2m	Late-game	57,782	Confirmed
Mystic Slow T2	spirit	-2.32pp	0.4%	21.6m	Late-game	581	Unreliable
Warp Stone T3	vitality	-2.59pp	1.1%	28.4m	Late-game	1,486	Experimental
Burst Fire T3	weapon	-2.61pp	3.6%	27.1m	Late-game	4,747	Emerging
Mystic Expansion T1	spirit	-2.66pp	10.6%	14.8m	Late-game	13,877	Likely
Active Reload T2	weapon	-2.79pp	2.5%	20.9m	Late-game	3,249	Experimental
Lifestrike T3	vitality	-2.90pp	0.2%	23.1m	Late-game	245	Unreliable
Refresher T4	spirit	-2.92pp	0.5%	42.4m	Late-game	685	Unreliable
Battle Vest T2	vitality	-3.11pp	2.5%	17.9m	Late-game	3,230	Experimental
Kinetic Dash T2	weapon	-3.35pp	1.8%	12.7m	Late-game	2,302	Experimental
Heroic Aura T3	weapon	-3.37pp	0.2%	26.9m	Late-game	221	Unreliable
Healing Booster T2	vitality	-3.46pp	0.5%	20.2m	Late-game	640	Unreliable
Spirit Shielding T2	vitality	-3.54pp	3.3%	21.0m	Late-game	4,321	Emerging
Healing Nova T3	vitality	-3.54pp	0.1%	26.9m	Late-game	193	Unreliable
Healbane T2	vitality	-3.55pp	10.4%	18.5m	Late-game	13,557	Likely
Arcane Surge T2	spirit	-3.60pp	0.6%	17.4m	Late-game	753	Unreliable
Enduring Speed T2	vitality	-3.95pp	1.8%	21.3m	Late-game	2,411	Experimental
Spirit Resilience T3	vitality	-4.17pp	9.1%	31.3m	Late-game	11,859	Likely
Melee Charge T2	weapon	-4.21pp	0.4%	15.4m	Late-game	554	Unreliable
Monster Rounds T1	weapon	-4.33pp	3.9%	6.5m	Late-game	5,067	Emerging
Escalating Resilience T3	weapon	-4.52pp	0.3%	27.4m	Late-game	415	Unreliable
Melee Lifesteal T1	vitality	-4.54pp	0.3%	9.1m	Late-game	363	Unreliable
Cultist Sacrifice T3	weapon	-4.56pp	1.3%	14.9m	Late-game	1,700	Experimental
Knockdown T3	spirit	-4.67pp	7.0%	26.8m	Late-game	9,146	Emerging
Golden Goose Egg T1	spirit	-4.68pp	1.1%	4.2m	Late-game	1,493	Experimental
Close Quarters T1	weapon	-4.71pp	0.6%	9.5m	Late-game	763	Unreliable
Bullet Resilience T3	vitality	-4.71pp	1.4%	32.0m	Late-game	1,870	Experimental
Silence Wave T3	spirit	-4.85pp	1.7%	30.8m	Late-game	2,198	Experimental
Fleetfoot T2	weapon	-5.31pp	0.5%	15.4m	Late-game	672	Unreliable
Weapon Shielding T2	vitality	-5.35pp	0.4%	20.7m	Late-game	557	Unreliable
Tesla Bullets T3	weapon	-5.97pp	0.1%	27.2m	Late-game	136	Unreliable
Rusted Barrel T1	spirit	-6.25pp	2.0%	17.1m	Late-game	2,582	Experimental
Decay T3	spirit	-6.99pp	1.1%	28.0m	Late-game	1,415	Experimental
Toxic Bullets T3	weapon	-7.85pp	0.6%	28.4m	Late-game	785	Unreliable
Disarming Hex T3	spirit	-9.67pp	2.8%	28.6m	Late-game	3,605	Emerging
Fury Trance T3	vitality	-9.73pp	0.1%	25.2m	Late-game	144	Unreliable
Return Fire T2	vitality	-13.26pp	0.1%	24.3m	Late-game	181	Unreliable
Metal Skin T3	vitality	-13.42pp	2.0%	32.1m	Late-game	2,631	Experimental

Full item table

Situational item recommendations derived from sell rate, average buy timing, and high-MMR adoption gap. Items that players regularly sell, buy late, or are adopted primarily in high-skill brackets indicate situational value.

Condition	Recommended Item	Est. Uplift	Confidence	Matches
Late-game / when ahead	Lightning Scroll	+8.41pp	Unreliable	128
Late-game / when ahead	Mystic Reverb	+8.05pp	Likely	10,142
High-skill lobbies only	Guardian Ward	+7.73pp	Unreliable	772
Late-game / when ahead	Spellslinger	+6.96pp	Experimental	2,150
High-skill lobbies only	Magic Carpet	+6.95pp	Experimental	2,127
Late-game / when ahead	Lucky Shot	+6.90pp	Likely	11,345
High-skill lobbies only	Divine Barrier	+6.78pp	Experimental	1,408
High-skill lobbies only	Diviner's Kevlar	+6.56pp	Experimental	2,490
Late-game / when ahead	Mercurial Magnum	+6.28pp	Likely	10,184
Late-game / when ahead	Armor Piercing Rounds	+6.24pp	Experimental	1,451
High-skill lobbies only	Arctic Blast	+6.00pp	Unreliable	813
Late-game / when ahead	Cheat Death	+5.78pp	Emerging	3,447

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